My last mortgage refinance took 97 days to complete after averaging only 45 days for my previous three refinances between 2005-2010. So what on earth caused mortgage refinance times to skyrocket by 100% in my latest refinance in 2016?
After writing dozens of posts, reading hundreds of comments, and speaking to multiple loan officers offline and online for the past 18 months, I’ve come with six definitive reasons as to why refinancing a mortgage now is as fast as a stampede of turtles running through peanut butter.
If you plan to go through a mortgage refinance, mentally plan for a three to four month long process. If the refinance gets done sooner, then great. If not, your expectations have already been set.
MAIN REASONS WHY MORTGAGE REFINANCING TAKES SO LONG
1) Government Imposed Standards. The governments had to spend hundreds of billions of dollars to bailout America’s largest financial institutions. Bank of America and Citibank alone received roughly $45 billion dollars worth of taxpayer money each. The public was pissed, and given politicians need public support remain in power, politicians decided to “get tough on banks” by imposing stricter capital standards. Some impositions include: 1) higher tier 1 capital requirements, 2) the banning of proprietary trading, 3) year end bonus limits, 4) higher return metrics, and 5) much more paper work! Whenever the government is involved in anything, expect inefficiencies thanks to bureaucracy and greed. Compare the United States Postal Service to Federal Express, and you get the idea.
2) High Credit Scores Required. The average credit score for an approved applicant is over 760. 760 is 40 points higher than what is considered an “excellent” credit rating. If only excellent people can get approved for mortgages, what about the rest of the non-excellent population? A huge factor in achieving a high credit score is time. This is why those with 760 credit scores and higher are usually in their 30’s or older. The only people I know with over 800 credit scores are in their 40’s as well. This means the 20-something demographic is getting shut out! Furthermore, to improve from a 680 credit score to 760 often takes at least two years if not longer. Even if you have a 760+ credit score, you still need to come up with a 20% downpayment, and have a debt to income ratio below 33%.
3) Bank Underwriting Militants. During my 100 day mortgage refinance saga, I received over 10 Good Faith Estimate packages required by the bank (thanks to the government) to send when even the smallest assumption is changed. Each GFE contained 6-7 pages of information which soon becomes irrelevant when I get another, and another. They never ask for all the documents at once. It’s always in piece meal, which delays the process tremendously. It’s as if they are purposefully delaying the process to fit in more applicants! The mortgage underwriter is turning into Sherlock Homes, asking for every single documentation possible: insurance, student loans, K-1’s, alternative assets, etc. Underwriters often ask for documents multiple times because it takes them so long to do their due diligence that the previous documents they requested have passed the time of approval (appraisals, paychecks, etc).
4) Tight Mortgage Secondary Market. The mortgage back security market is still thawing as demand for such products is nowhere near as high as in 2007. As a result, banks cannot offload their risk in the secondary market, which makes banks more hesitant to lend in the primary market. It’s all about credit risk for banks. For example, there is no condotel mortgage market anymore. As a result, condotel property volume has shriveled to a halt and only cash buyers are able to buy those wonderful Ritz Carlton properties up in Lake Tahoe. Soon, this mortgage type will open up, and you will make some returns, but you need the cash first!
5) Flood Of Home Buying Applications. This is a huge positive for the economy. I’ve received plenty of feedback from different banks that they are seeing a DELUGE of new mortgage applications. As a result, the refinance applications are put on the backburner because there is almost always a financing contingency during a home purchase transaction. I generally see 30-45 day contingencies, compared with 60-90 day lock flexibilities for mortgage refinances. Rising new mortgage applications is a leading indicator for the economy.
6) Understaffing Due To Layoffs. It’s estimated that some ~10 million people have lost their jobs directly because of the financial crisis. Most of these jobs in finance and real estate will not come back thanks to lower profitability. As a result, many mortgage departments have lower staff for similar work than before. Employees everywhere are complaining about doing more with less and with the same or less pay. Banking is one of the most impacted industries over the last five years and they it will continue to shrink. Expect the next three months to see some massive hemorrhaging.
GET USED TO THE NEW NORMAL
Gone are the days of 30 day mortgage refinances. I expect the new normal to be 60-80 days on average for the typical approved applicant. Mine took 20 days longer than the new average because of my credit score screw up. Once we set our expectations, our frustrations about the process should improve.
I’m very bullish on housing over the coming years and so should you. The mortgages that are taken out or refinanced today will be of lower risk of default in the future. Eventually, banks will get loose again, and when you start hearing about the return of NINJA (No Income No Job Apps), negative amortization loans, and HELOC parties, then you know it’s time to consider cashing out on your gains.