There are may benefits of owning stocks over real estate. We’ve already discussed why I prefer real estate over stocks for most people. Now it’s time to argue the other way.
I’ve been an investor in both stocks and real estate since the 1990s. Both asset classes are core asset classes to own for most people. Roughly 30% of my net worth is in stocks and 50% of my net worth is in real estate.
Out of my estimated $380,000 in annual passive investment income, roughly $75,000 of the income comes from stock dividends.
The Benefits Of Owning Stocks Over Real Estate
I was expecting much more backlash from coastal city folks in my article on why I preferred real estate. After all, real estate is more expensive on the coasts to own. You tend to dislike things you can’t get.
But I also got heat from folks who live in the Midwest. The general feedback was that Midwesterners never felt anti-housing rage and that I’m a fool for preferring real estate over stocks since they’ve made more money in the stock market.
Well obviously you aren’t going to feel a lot of anti-housing rage if you can buy a beautiful house for $280,000 a couple years out of school! And obviously you have a better chance of making a larger absolute return on your investment with stocks since housing is so cheap. We already know that in the long run, stocks outperform real estate, un-levered.
The Midwest Has The Greatest Investment Opportunity
What I do predict with great confidence is that 20-30 years from now, the anti-housing rage will have spread to the Midwest. Money is fungible. It will go where the returns are highest. Residents from San Francisco, LA, Seattle, New York, Washington DC, and Miami will bring their bags of cash and either buy up non-coastal real estate directly through REITs or through real estate crowdfunding deals.
Making a fortune is about predicting long-term trends, and I’m certain diversity will continue to spread across America. Technology will make paying $4,600 a month for a two bedroom in a congested city like San Francisco no longer necessary because you no longer need to work in an office. By 2030, there will be more freelancers than W2 workers because today already ~35% of the American workforce are freelancers.
Every opportunity will eventually be arbitraged away. Thankfully, such trends can take decades to play out. Face reality or get left behind.
Why I’m Always Going To Own A Good Amount Of Stocks
After selling my SF rental house and reinvesting the proceeds, I’ve got roughly 30% of my net worth in stocks. Although stocks give me zero pleasure or utility, they are a necessary component of my asset allocation because history has shown that stocks outperform inflation by 3-5X.
Here are some of the benefits over owning stocks over real estate.
1) Higher rate of return.
Over the past 60 years, stocks have historically returned ~7-10% a year compared to 2-4% for real estate. You can also go on margin to boost your stock returns. However, I don’t recommend this strategy given your broker will force you to liquidate holdings to come up with cash if things go the other way. With real estate, your bank can’t force you to come up with cash or move out so long as you continue paying your mortgage.
2) Stocks are much more liquid.
If you don’t like a stock or need immediate cash, you can easily sell your stock holdings. If you need to cash out of real estate you could theoretically take out a home equity line of credit, but it’s costly, needs getting approval, and takes at least a month to open up a new account.
I tried unsuccessfully to sell one property in 2012. It took a stressful 45 days to finally sell the same property in 2017 for $1 million more. So thank goodness for illiquidity in saving myself from myself! With stocks, it’s so nice to be able to simply click a couple buttons and be done.
3) Stocks have lower transaction costs.
Online transaction costs are now free, no matter how small the position you buy or sell. The real estate industry is still an oligopoly which fixes commissions at a ridiculously high level of 5-6%. The cost of selling a house is egregious.
You would think with the growth of companies like Zillow and Redfin transaction costs would significantly decline, but unfortunately they’ve done very little to help lower expenses for the consumer.
Check out this detailed breakdown of how much it would cost to sell a $1,850,000 home. If they charged a 6% commission fee, the cost would be $18,500 more!
4) Stocks require less work than real estate.
Real estate takes constant managing due to maintenance, conflicts with neighbors, and tenant rotation. Stocks can literally be left alone forever while paying out quarterly dividends. Without random maintenance issues you’re able to focus your attention elsewhere. You can spend more time with family, grow your business, or travel the world.
If it made you feel more comfortable, you could hire a money manager for a fee of under 1% to manage your investments. Or you could just track and manage your portfolio yourself for free like I’ve done for the past 25 years.
5) Easier to diversify with stocks than with real estate.
Unless you are super rich, you can’t own properties in Honolulu, San Francisco, Rio, Amsterdam and all the other great cities of the world. With stocks you can not only invest in different countries, you can also invest in various sectors.
A well-diversified stock portfolio could very well be less volatile than a property portfolio. People forget that buying property is a highly concentrated bet, often with debt, in a single asset.
6) Easier to invest in products you care about.
One of the most fun aspects about the stock market is that you can invest in what you use. Let’s say you are a huge fan of Apple products, McDonald’s cheeseburgers, and Lululemon yoga pants. You can simply buy AAPL, MCD, and LULU. It’s a great feeling to not only use the products you invest in, but make money off your investments as well.
As soon as we started actively using Netflix in 2011, we bought some shares that have done well (wish I put my life savings in the stock in 2006 when Reed Hastings, the founder spoke at my Berkeley MBA commencement!). As soon as my wife signed up for Amazon Prime in 2016, we also bought some shares.
7) Tax benefits.
For capital gains and qualified dividends, the maximum tax rate is 15% for taxpayers in the lower tax brackets. For those in the highest tax bracket, the tax rate is 23.8%, including the 3.8% Net Investment Income Tax, associated with the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act. Short-term capital gains tax (<1 year holding period) will be taxed at the normal marginal income tax rate.
Although these tax rates are quite reasonable, they can’t compete with the $250K/$500K tax free gains for singles/married couples who sell their homes after living in it for 2 out of the last 5. Now that’s some great tax savings!
8) Protecting your investment in a downturn is easier with stocks.
If you think the end is near you can easily sell a stock or short it. But if the real estate floor gives way, there will be no reasonable offers as vultures will start swarming.
If you think the real estate market is about to implode, you can short homebuilder stocks like KB Homes, a homebuilding ETF like XHG, a real estate play like Home Depot, a REIT like O, or mortgage backed securities. But these hedges are inefficient. At least with physical real estate, you can buy insurance. But is buying insurance really a benefit when no insurance is required to buy stocks?
Here are some ways to make money in a downturn. Here’s also a bear market checklist to thrive as well.
9) Less taxes and fees with stocks.
Holding property requires paying property taxes usually equal to 0.5 – 2.5% of the value of the property each year. In 40 – 200 years, you’ll have paid for the full value of your property in taxes alone.
Then there’s maintenance costs, insurance costs, property management costs, and transaction costs to deal with. With stocks, you can build a portfolio of ETFs for free on Fidelity. Or you can have a digital wealth advisor build and maintain your investment portfolio for just 0.25% a year.
From a property tax perspective, the only states that seem reasonable to own property are Hawaii (0.28%), Florida (1.06%, no state income taxes), Washington (1.09%, no state income taxes), Wyoming (0.61%), Colorado (0.61%), Utah (0.68%), South Carolina (0.57%), Louisiana (0.51%), Arkansas (0.62%), Alabama (0.43%), and Nevada (0.86%, no state income taxes).
Characteristics Most Suitable For Real Estate
* Believe wealth is made up of real assets not paper.
* Know where you want to live for at least five years.
* Do not do well in volatile environments.
* Easily spooked by downturns.
* Tend to buy and sell too often.
* Enjoy interacting with people.
* Takes pride in ownership.
* Likes to feel more in control.
Characteristics Most Suitable For Stocks
* Happy to give up control to those who should know better.
* Can stomach higher levels of volatility.
* Have tremendous discipline not to chase rallies and sell when things are imploding.
* Likes to trade.
* Enjoys studying economics, politics, and researching stocks.
* Don’t want to be tied down.
* Have a limited amount of capital to invest.
The Main Reason Why We Own Stocks Today
Real estate is a younger person’s asset class. I had all the energy in the world in my 20s and 30s to buy, manage, and remodel real estate.
Now that I’m in my 40s and have a wife and children to take care of, I simply do not have enough time or desire to manage real estate. As a result, I’m actively investing in private real estate funds like the sons offered by Fundrise, which are 100% passive.
The same thing goes for buying and selling cars. I had 10 cars between 22 – 34 because I was a car addict. I loved meeting up with people on Craigslist to haggle. Now, I’m happy to own one car for 10 years if it lasts that long.
If you want to own real estate, build your empire when you’re young. You won’t have the energy or two once you’re middle-aged. I’m thankful the 2/2 condo I bought in 2003 is fully paid off. I’m also thankful I bought panoramic ocean view fixers in 2014 and 2019 that are both fully remodeled. We’re never going through remodel hell again!
Now, we just want to own stocks, Treasury bonds, REITs, and real estate crowdfunding with our incremental investments. A simple life is a happier life!
The benefits of owning stocks are many. Just be prepared for the occasional 10% – 30% correction. Over the long run, stocks have provided positive returns to help millions achieve financial independence.
Invest In Real Estate More Strategically
If you don’t have the downpayment to buy a property, don’t want to deal with the hassle of managing real estate, or don’t want to tie up your liquidity in physical real estate, take a look at Fundrise, one of the largest real estate crowdsourcing companies today.
Real estate is a key component of a diversified portfolio. Real estate crowdsourcing allows you to be more flexible in your real estate investments by investing beyond just where you live for the best returns possible. For example, cap rates are around 3% in San Francisco and New York City, but over 10% in the Midwest if you’re looking for strictly investing income returns.
Sign up and take a look at all the residential and commercial investment opportunities around the country Fundrise has to offer. It’s free to look.
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Not clear why you feel you need to manage your own properties. You can hire a property manager. Those expenses can be written off and it’s a peace of mind. In the better areas of the bay area you’re less likely to rent to someone who you’ll need to evict.
Your comment about historical returns for stocks vs real estate is based on averages. Based on where you live you’re more likely to have a much higher return in a hot market. Take for example, one bedrooms in Cupertino sold for around $550k in 2006 through 2008. Now they are selling for $950,000. This is not normal nor the average. Hot cities in the bay area does not lose value (10 to 25% at most during a down turn) while the upside is higher.
Not only does the property manager lower returns, I didn’t want to manage the manager. But I have many reasons for selling one property, namely rents fell 15% when I tried to rent it out, but property taxes stayed elevated and the selling price stayed elevated too. So valuations went higher. I’d much rather invest just $500,000 in real estate crowdfunding and get the same or higher operating profits than the $2,742,000 house with $815,000 in debt.
Are you buying property now in the SF Bay Area? What does your property portfolio look like?
I’m still long two properties in SF and one property in Lake Tahoe. Just not crazy long with leverage anymore.
We have different experiences in terms of property managers. We don’t have to manage our manager. There are costs associated with it such as a 6% fee from rent and depending on the tenant, may need to do repairs inside the home, but those costs are deducted during tax time.
I’ve been tracking home prices/bidding in Emeryville/Oakland and the Tri-Valley since mid last year. Unless there is a correction in 2019, it’s no longer affordable. The cost of home ownership in those areas are now more than rent in those areas. For rental investment, even in the cheaper areas like Stockton, the home prices have gone up significantly and homeownership there is more than rent.
We currently have 4 properties, one paid off, two less than 3 years and one on the 30 year plan. We don’t plan on ever selling, so our strategy is a little different. The properties will be for our income when we retire and passed on to our children.
If property prices are no longer affordable, who can afford them?
I think everybody is different and has a different situation to deal with. I used to think property was the greatest thing on Earth, but not anymore in my 40s and not after building web properties.
For example, a $2.74M place I sold was generating ~$5,500 a month net after everything. Without a mortgage, it would generate $7,400 a month. That’s a 3.1% annual yield + any appreciation. I’d much rather invest $2.74M for a 10% net rental yield, or $270,000 a year + appreciation in the heartland. See: BURL: The Real Estate Investment Rule To Follow
I just want a simpler life now.
“If property prices are no longer affordable, who can afford them?”
People who wants to park their money (all cash buyers) into real estate and generate income through rent. Or people who are tired of renting and wants pride in home ownership. Prices are definitely higher (in areas I’ve looked at) now than compared to Q3 last year, by a margin of at least $50,000 on just the listing price. The inventory in the bay area is low, so homes in the same location are listed after one sells.
You’re in a unique situation since you have more money to work with. The more money you have to work with, the more options you have to make more money. Even your $500,000 investment in RealityShares is more money than the avg 20% – 30% down payment on a home.
Sam,
I like how you’re flexible in giving merit to points of views that are valid even if you do have your favorite asset classes. This article goes to show that different assets may be a better than others depending on one’s life circumstances. I don’t live in a HCOL area but purchasing real estate in my 20’s was not the best move financially because I could have accumulated much more wealth if the money had been put into the stock market. Granted, I purchased property in 2006 at the peak of the housing market but it would have been a good exercise to calculate the rates of return on the various investment options at the time. Now that I’m writing this, I realize that I had come up with Plan A to sell the place should I have needed to move. What I didn’t anticipate was the property being so underwater that I wouldn’t be able to sell and would possibly have to rent the place out. Had I thought through a Plan B of renting out the place if unable to sell, I would have seen how expensive it was to continue carrying the property.
Since you brought up that predicting the future is key to making a fortune, it had occurred to me recently that my profession as an internal auditor is at stake. One of the trends now is for internal auditors to be expert data analysts. I can foresee that the next step would be to use machine learning where computers can analyze data to detect errors and fraud which would reduce the need for auditors. Luckily, I have just 14 more years until retirement. My backup plan is to move into an administrative position, at the university I’ve worked for the last 16 years, if my position actually did become obsolete.
Hi FS,
Nice article as always, but I think you made some qualitative and quantitative analysis errors in your write-up. These might be minor, but I just want to offer an alternate viewpoint.
I think you really glossed over the higher rate of return inherent in stocks over real estate. This is an important factor as time in the investment absolutely affects your total wealth level dramatically. The longer you’re in stocks, the greater your total compounded wealth. It’s typically much easier to grow to $1 to $10 million in stocks in real net worth than it to do that with real estate (due to the lower rate of compound growth). What you truly get from owning real estate is a larger return of cash (typically 6-8% vs. 3% in dividends). This emphasizes that you should own stocks when you’re young (to generate high rates of compound growth and overall wealth) and keep your day job/business venture as your actual work activity. At later stages in life you then transition to real estate to reduce your overall wealth volatility and to generate a higher cash return on your currently created wealth. I think it’s much more valuable to find a way to get to $2+ million as a liquid net worth and then find opportunities to generate cash return so that you have $100k to $150k coming in to cover all of life’s expenses.
I also think that the leverage argument is minor or not a largely attributable value/parameter to differentiate between stocks and real estate. Most analysts look at leverage from their personal viewpoint and fail to realize that all business ventures are inherently leveraged to begin with. That’s why you can see inherent RoEs of 20 to 30% for business operations like Coca Cola and Diageo. They have done the heavy lifting for you and, while it may not be as highly leveraged as commercial/residential real estate, it’s usually sufficient that you’re gaining most of the inherent benefits of leverage while incurring lower level of risk that’s typically inherent in real estate (current coastal run-ups not withstanding). Since we all know that leverage is not a linear risk function, we should be able to agree that you want some, but you don’t want LTCM levels. Stock investments typically have this built in and don’t require further analysis on an investor’s part.
Got it. How long did it take you to get to $10 million in stocks versus $10 million in real estate?
I’m not sure some homeowners about their homes for $100,000 years ago, and we are now set on $1 million in equity or more would agree with you. They are compounded return was pretty good too. Further, you can buy high dividend paying utility stocks for cash flow.
Real estate was much quicker and helpful in building my wealth due to leverage. Taking concentrated risk in SF plus leverage was very helpful.
Oh I’m not that old/wealthy yet!! Just hit about $2.5M recently. It took my wife and I seven years (after my MBA) to move from $150k to there. I expect to hit $8M in about 6 to 8 years (the faster the downturn and eventual recovery, the faster that happens) around late 40s to maybe 50. I will state I also used real estate (LA) to boost my net worth by buying in 2010. What I’ve seen is really good returns on the RE ($250k initial to near $700k), but I’ve got really great returns on the stocks ($150k to $550k) over the same time period.
I have seen a higher cash return on the RE, but higher overall rate of return on the stocks.
I expect to transition to a higher percentage or RE once I hit 50 and have to put my kids through college and start to stop worrying about trying to make more money, as opposed, to just keeping it.
Luckily my wife and I will have the pension also so we expect no long term general living expenses!! The money will only be for the occasional splurge.
Got it. I guess it’s good to extrapolate and and plan ahead.
I don’t know many people who to expect a tripling of net worth in just 6 to 8 years. What is the math work in your case?
I’d love to carve out $2.5 million of my net worth and triple it as well. In fact, that’s exactly what I’ll do if you show me the way!
Thx
A simpler life is a happy life FOR SURE.
The simplicity and low maintenance is the reason why I like stocks and index funds. Also I love your reason about owning companies you care about; I have some or those as well.
Hi Sam,
100% agree with you when you say “a simple life is a happier life”!
You could not have said it better.
I fell much more comfortable with stocks than with real estate. Real estate needs much more time than stocks and I don’t think the returns outweighs the benefits. However, I think some real estate can help in diversifying one portfolio that is full of stocks.
Moreover, in Switzerland, the price of real estate is really high. It’s a huge barrier to owning something. One day, I still think I will owe a house, but probably only for living in, not for income via renting.
Thanks for another great post.
I’m still in my 20’s but have essentially relegated myself to just putting my mid-to-long-term money in index funds. My wife and I work in pretty ridiculous industries (private equity / startup), so we’re both willing to sacrifice a percent or two of return in favor of less brain damage – that said, I don’t think extra time on our part would change the equation at all.
As you note, stocks win on an un-levered basis (I’d point out many public companies are decently levered, but that’s neither here nor there), so I find it hard to convince myself to put money in anything else. Currently we have ~90% of our net worth in stocks (or about 80% if you count 401(k)/IRA since those are in Vanguard target-date funds that also comprise some non-stocks). Looking at current P/E ratios, I sometimes cringe before depositing 50% of my paycheck into more stocks, but if I don’t plan to touch the money for 20+ years, I guess my question is why change? If you don’t have the time to deal with RE and other non-passive investments, is there any reason to put true retirement money elsewhere?
And as a side note – Sam, I’ve been reading your blog for a couple months now and have found it to be one of the rare finance blogs I can identify with – so thanks!
23 percent real estate
67 percent stock (80 percent US)
4 percent alts
15 percent art
0 percent bonds
<1 percent cash
I’d like to get the alt number up to 10 percent with up to 1 percent of that 10 percent being in crypto.
If I follow through on buying a 2nd home before 2020 election then real estate holdings would go up. Unsure, if will follow through on getting the second home though. Need to see what the climate looks like around that time. Stocks are still relatively cheap right now. A 0 percent rate of return for the S&P this year would mean stocks would be really cheap next year. None of the tax plan for the rich is baked into stocks yet.
Numbers are off. Art is about 5 percent
I feel very comfortable with stocks. Real estate is worth while if you are diligent and ready to grind to find a good deal.
Have to be realistic though and realize that like anything else you are competing for those amazing deals and have to treat it like a business. I think if a deal presents itself along the way to own real estate directly it is a worth while endeavor.
I own a modest place and am happy to have low costs in a HCOL area.
As far as stocks go I think it is proven to be one of the greatest wealth builders of our time. It is very hard to stick to a solid strategy over the long term though. Most people jump in and out and end up getting burned. If you can have a long term vision it is fantastic.
I care about electric cars, and reducing fuel costs, but am in no hurry to buy any TSLA @ this point :P
Sam, would you consider just owning REIT funds rather than invest in actual properties? It’s essentially got the best of both worlds since you will receive distributions from profits of the properties, while not really having to do any of the work in managing a property.
With that said, as a “lazy” investor who knows better now than to pick stocks (with the help from the school of hard knocks), nothing wrong with investing in plain ol’ low fee index funds.
Low fee index funds are the Ronco Rotisserie of investments. You can “set it and forget it”, unless the house is on fire.
You make a good point about stocks’ superior returns and liquidity. But to take it a step further, I prefer equities because real estate doesn’t provide a sufficient illiquidity premium to merit the leveraged risk and transaction cost. If stocks provide a better return with better liquidity and bonds provide a similar yield with better liquidity (and collateral), why take on the illiquidity at all?
Real estate is still a great diversifier of net worth, but seems to be an inefficient investment vehicle, in my view. I use RE solely for diversification, akin to commodities etc.
Fair point. I do wonder whether liquidity is overrated. If real estate was really liquid, it would be easier to sell during the downturn and miss out on all the upside. For so many asset classes, holding for the long term is generally better.
Fair points. I do wonder whether liquidity is overrated. If real estate was really liquid, it would be easier to sell during a downturn and miss out on all the upside. For so many asset classes, holding for the long term is generally better.
Liquidity is nice to have, but when we are working, have passive income, and side hustles, perhaps liquidity is not as necessary as we think.
Liquidity is nice to have, but when we are working, have passive income, and side hustles, perhaps liquidity is not as necessary as we think.
Before fire selling any asset, I would just eat Ramen noodles and drink water every day.
As I mentioned later, the real reason to own real estate is not for a return or liquidity premium, but a return of cash premium. The three investments classes all meet different investment criteria as they have done now for millenia, and which is why they still also exist separately and distinctly. The stocks generate high return with a high levels of volatility and liquidity and low levels of current cash. The bonds generate a guaranteed rate of cash (low to medium levels) with low volatility and high liquidity, while real estate generates a high level of cash (potentially) with low levels of volatility and low liquidity. If you need cash for current expenses, you invest in real estate. If you’re looking to generate long term wealth, you invest in stocks and if you need guaranteed cash over a specific time frame you invest in bonds.
They aren’t really competitive asset classes so much as structured for different needs asset classes.
Sam,
I’m with you on low equity allocations and high R.E. allocations spread across your assets. I think you having 30% in equities is pretty wise as it’s risk-averse, especially at a time like the present. Like you I have a high allocation to R.E., mainly through crowdfunding. I love this 8% preferred payout I’m receiving as the I.R.R.’s slowly build up over time.
Good post. You can already see that happening in the outskirts of the Bay Area. Those areas are starting to see their prices climb because people can’t afford the Bay Area. My daughter became an ER nurse in Bakersfield for the experience, and while salaries are much lower there. She looks at the Real Estate prices in the Bay Area and the cost of child care, and is now contemplating buying a nice house in Bakersfield. Houses won’t appreciate like they do in the Bay Area, but she can afford a very nice house for 250,000 dollars instead of a shack for a million dollars. I don’t blame her.
Hi, Sam: I personally use Nassim Taleb’s Barbell Strategy: hold extremely conservative assets (real-estate, cash) and extremely risky assets (S&P, individual equities), no bonds. I think this mixture is better than, say, holding a single class of assets, or 60% equities, 40% bonds, etc. (the later is really hard to re-balance).
Taleb’s rationale is without safe assets as cushion, “long term” investors are likely to panic (2009 when market is -40%), or forced to sell if losing jobs, etc… Having panic myself in 2009 and sold some equities, I now keep a few years of living expenses in cash and never have to worry a down market.
The fact that you got push back for the Midwest housing rage means you might be on to something. You’re supposed to do what other investors aren’t, right? Haha.
So we just sold our rental and the whole process has been….yup… very very illiquid and slow moving. The grounds are looking shakey here with so much building in the pipeline and we needed funds for my parents who are movingggg….to Carolina. Still think you’re onto something with the amount of retirees.
I bought my house at 22 in the Midwest (after reading many of your amazing articles on real estate investing) and it’s had an impact of roughly $100,000+ on my net worth when you take into consideration the income from my renters, paying down the mortgage, and also a little bit of appreciation in there.
A good balance of both is right for me, and also being in the Midwest, it makes sense for a good balance.
Great post
Great to hear! That sounds like a significant boost to your net worth. Folks should get neutral real estate by owning their primary residence. Investment property is a different matter.
The problem with stocks will always be the volatility associated. When things go smoothly, it’s easy to be invested. But when things go south like in 2008 when the SPY was losing -50%, you start to ask yourself if that asset is appropriated for your risk tolerance.
I continue to believe that a simple 60%/40% portfolio between stocks and quality intermediate bonds should be the core investment for the average “joe”. Preferably with a tilt towards World distribution and not only US.
Vanguard World Stock has an expense ratio of 0.10%. Simple and cheap.
I agree that investing is easy when things are going smoothly. The volatility of stocks, particularly during corrections/crashes, is the main reason why stocks turn out not to be a very profitable investment for the average “joe”. The statistics show that the average “joe” doesn’t have the discipline to hold when the market implodes – as evidenced by the approximate 2.3% annual return that they achieve. I’m sure there is an inverse relationship between stock asset allocation and return (i.e. higher stock allocation, lower statistical return and vice versa), but ultimately I wonder where exactly is the the sweet spot for the average person? At what exact stock allocation does the average investor earn more than 2.3%? I would wager it is much lower than 60%.
I think midwest real estate price will increase too. The profit margin is slim on the coastal cities and the money will go somewhere else. Housing affordability issue will spread in the US.
I’m leaning more toward stock these days too. Real estate investing is way more work. All the taxes and fees take a big bite out of the profit too.
The big difference is in the Midwest+ people can keep building new property. This tends to keep the cost of housing lower. Even if lots of people come from CA we have plenty of land to build more so only impacted by construction inflation not cost of limited land inflation. It’s been like that for decades and probably isn’t going to change.
I like the Southeast for RE better than Midwest. Lower taxes (generally), better weather, closer to beaches and other vacation spots, similar real estate prices in the vast majority of the SE, and a much better population growth level than the midwest in the last 10, 15 or 20 years.
A stock is like a magic lottery ticket for early retirement. I love to see numbers that magically go up and up and up.
Only 52% of Americans own any stocks according to financial samurai and Gallup. The simple act of using my (previous) employer’s employee stock purchase program is that I jumped ahead of nearly half of the people. Stock ownership represents the hope that you can indeed have earnings outside of your job. Especially when I’m too scared to talk to people.
Net worth is kinda personal, its roughly 83.5% stocks and 16.5% cash.
I see that I forgot to contribute to the point of the article, which is stocks over real estate. Whoops.
Kinda hard when I own no real estate, but here is what I see.
In my rural community there are a lot of grumpy old men who own real estate and meet for breakfast at the same place every day. These men have been disillusioned as to the low character of most people. They can spin story after story about how the tenants trash their places and refuse to pay rent. “No matter how much they make, people aren’t willing to pay. He makes $2000 a week” but refuses to pay his $90 a week rent.
FinSam you’ve probably dealt with unreasonable tenants before. And…over the course of a lifetime the stress from these people turn you into an unlikable unsociable jerk.
I’ve yet to meet long term stock owners who are constantly angry at everyone in the community around them. When people lose money at stocks they blame the man ‘somewhere out there.’ When people lose money at real estate it is because their literal neighbor screwed them.
But wait there’s more! When you end up a sourpuss your spouse and children don’t want to be around you. These grumpy old men are always hitting on the waitress half their age because they couldn’t keep their marriage from falling apart after years of meanness.
So in order to protect yourself and your family, go with stock ownership.
Hah! Wonderful anecdote and probably totally true! After a lifetime of dealing with tenants, there will be some very bad experiences that question your faith in humanity.
In fact, I wrote about one such experience before I decided to sell last year.
https://www.financialsamurai.com/being-a-landlord-tests-my-faith-in-humanity/
Your point about grumpy old men is so true. As they say, HELL IS OTHER PEOPLE.
What makes up your “Alternatives” Sam as you have a large portion of your assets in that class?
Hi Christine – Alternatives make up between 5% – 10% of my net worth and they consist of:
* Venture Debt
* Private Equity
* Real Estate Crowdfunding
Sam
The big one for us is avoiding the time commitment of real estate. When your choices are your job and kids or doing maintenance on a rental property your decisions may go differently.
Mrs. BD either calls me (1) “a baby” or (2) “an old man” due to my changing temperament. I sometimes hear both in the same day – depending on my mood and/or the activity.
Related, the characteristics you listed for both RE and Stocks resonate well with me on both ends of the spectrum. Fortunately, in investing, I tend to act more consistent than how I feel regarding what’s on TV or what we’re having for dinner.
On your question, we’re currently allocated as of COB 20-April-2018:
– 4.6% Cash
– 1.12% Int’l Bonds
– 9.05% US Bonds
– 13.35% Int’l Stocks
– 49.96% US Stocks (mainly large-cap, income-oriented)
– 21.92% Alternatives (nearly all RE via primarily REITs and Crowdfunding)
Overall, I like both stocks and RE (but prefer REITs and Crowdfunding).
Thanks for the post. – Mike
Sam the tax situation is very different over here in the UK.
Over here owning buy to let (rental property) directly, still makes sense both for diversification and as a stand alone investment.
The best yields come from cheaper property this usually means there is no tax to pay on the purchase. Property is a long play and over here tax on capital gains only becomes due at the point of sale, so why sell? If you need money simply remortgage.
Property funding is cheap money and over 25 years or so the tenant buys the property for you.
There are always hassles with buildings and tenants, I think the way round these are regular inspections to catch any maintenance issues quickly and to use a managing agent to deal with the tenants.
The local property taxes are paid by the tenants, the only annual tax a UK landlord faces is income tax on the rent less expenses.
Owning investment property in the UK is a fairly easy way of generating wealth over time (prices double roughly every 7 years and your leveraged) and its a safe place to park money.
Maybe you guys over there should be investing over here?
Regards,
Humbug
Simpler life is a happier life. I’ve taken this path and now looking back at my 50 yrs on the earth I’m glad I didn’t. I watched several friends build complex kingdoms but are now a slave to what they built. Money to me buys me freedom and time. If it’s all tied up in complex investment kingdoms you won’t have the time to enjoy it. Keeping it simple is the way to go.
Schmitty
Sam I agree that ‘a simpler life is a happier life’ but here in the UK owning investment or rental property isn’t that complicated if the deal is structured sensibly.
First of all the fact that any deal is leveraged with a mortgage means that over a (say) 25 year time line the tenant(s) buy the property for you.
Yes there are in and out costs to buying and selling, but property is a long term play so why would you be wanting to sell. If you need to raise money quickly re-Mortgage it.
For sure there are hassles with the structure from time to time, but regular inspections should keep on top of these. Also for sure there are hassles with tenants, the trick here is to use a managing agent to deal with them. So your not involved in the day to day grief.
In the UK the best yields tend to come from lower priced property in cheaper locations, so often there is no tax to pay on the purchase. There is a local tax on properties (Council Tax) but it’s paid by the tenant not the landlord.
So over here the costs aren’t onerous, funding is with cheap money, the tenant buys the property for you, there is income tax to pay each year on the net income, but tax on any capital gains are deferred until the property is sold.
Provided you don’t over leverage cash flow is good and property provides another layer of diversification to an investor
What’s not to like?
Regards,
Humbug
I completely agree as I see myself in your writing and how real estate was for me such a clear win asset class in my 30s.
In fact it has brought me significant wealth and more so than stocks and bonds. The leverage aspect certainly helped as did a strong real estate market.
Now that I’m in my 40s, the most recent real estate investment were 1/ a tax play and 2/ a Holiday beach house. I’m working to divest the other rental properties I own as the hassle factor keeps expanding. Given that they are mortgage free, I just need to calculate the optimal tax exit.
Real estate is a younger person’s asset class.
Exactly! I also had a big jonesin’ to get into real estate when I was in my 20’s. Back then there was a guy named Carlton Sheets who sold his “How to make zillions with Real Estate” books on TV and I almost bought it. In the end, family turmoil and other things prevented me from doing it, and I’m glad about that. I admire the folks who are out there killing it with real estate and more power to them, but for the reasons you mentioned I’m a stocks guy. And beyond that an index fund guy. Simple, and lazy.
And that strategy got me to financial independence in my 40’s so I can attest that it works.
Let us not forget Tommy Vu too
You can lend out single name stocks on IB to get a nice return for securities lending, but you can’t really lend out your house if it’s being occupied. I think Fidelity does it too but they take much more of the loan %.
It’s a pretty obscure point, and useless to most people because most are invested in the SP500 or VTSMX and wouldn’t consider buying 500 single name stocks instead, but for those that have a fun side portfolio it could be useful.
How much weight do you put (if any) on relative value between stocks versus real estate? In other words, trying to get a sense of big-picture valuation trends, and putting more capital towards stocks or real estate based on that?
For those (like me) who have concern about an overvalued stock market, that’s a bit driver of underweighting investments there right now.