As an investor, I’ve thought about this question a fair bit recently. It seemed clear in September that no agreement would be made in Washington DC, which is why I sold equities and raised my stake in bonds as indicated in my quarterly private newsletter. The 10-year yield at 2.8%-2.91% was relatively attractive in light of everything.
Now that the government has shutdown, the 10-year yield is at ~2.64%, and the broader markets have sold off by 3-4%. The question is what’s next? I think the simple focus has to be on making an assumption of when the government starts up again. By figuring out when, we can potentially make more profitable bets or at least save ourselves from blowing up.