16.8%. That’s how much the current Greek 10-year bond yield is producing thanks to their debt mess. 16.8% is a juicy 13.9% higher than the current US 10-year yield to put things in perspective. The question on everybody’s mind is will lawmakers pass a new 5-year, 28 billion Euro austerity plan in order to tap a 5th installment of the bail out money available to repay almost US$10 billion worth of maturing bonds this August? We shall see come Thursday, June 30 whether the Greek Parliament implements the package if it passes on June 29 in the first place!
More than a year has passed for the market to digest the European debt crisis, but after a year of hand wrangling, pretentious pronouncements by aggravated government officials, and raucous rioting in the streets of Athens, nothing much has changed. The economic recovery that was to produce the growth and tax revenues to bail out the sinking ship of “PIIGS” has never materialized, and patience is running thin as potential defaults creep into the not too distant horizon.
The European version of Wall Street’s “CDO” meltdown has gradually unfolded over the past two years, beginning with leaks in the press that something was askew in Greece near the end of 2009. As the truth of the financial depth of deficits finally surfaced, the crisis hit front-page news headlines in May 2010, when it became apparent that the financial malaise was not confined to Greece alone. A new anagram, namely the “PIIGS”, entered our daily lexicon. Portugal, Ireland, Spain, and possibly Italy had similar, but different, according to finance officials, debt and deficit problems.
The crisis was met with proposed bail out packages from the stronger banks in the region that claimed that capital stress tests would prove their stability to meet most any contingency. Each proposal and subsequent approval was accompanied by pompous protestations from each government that debt payment schedules and bloated deficits were no longer issues to be concerned about, at least until the next revealing story in the press negated everything that was previously said. This bumbling scenario has been repeated countless times to the point that confidence in the respective governments has all but disappeared.
18 STRIKES AND YOU’RE OUT! Read more…